UN Tourism: International Tourism Remains Resilient Despite Rising Geopolitical Tensions
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26 Jun, 2026
According to the latest data released by UN Tourism, approximately 307 million international tourists traveled worldwide during the first quarter of 2026, representing an increase of about 6 million travelers compared with the same period in 2025. The figures demonstrate that international tourism has continued to show resilience despite mounting geopolitical and economic uncertainties.
Global travel demand recorded steady growth during the first two months of the year, with cumulative international arrivals increasing by 2.5%. However, the escalation of conflict in the Middle East negatively affected tourism performance in March, reducing overall growth to 0.4%.
UN Tourism now expects international tourist arrivals in 2026 to grow 1 to 2 percentage points below its initial forecast of 3% to 4%, depending on the duration and geographical scope of the conflict. Flight disruptions to, from, and within the Middle East, together with declining traveler confidence, are having a broader impact on global tourism markets.
The organization also noted that rising oil prices in some markets and shortages of jet fuel are increasing airline operating costs, leading to higher airfares and reduced flight capacity in several regions. More expensive travel and uncertainty surrounding air connectivity may encourage travelers to choose destinations closer to home while also dampening overall international travel demand.
Commenting on the latest outlook, UN Tourism Secretary-General Shaikha Al Nowais said:
"The ongoing conflict in the Middle East is disrupting travel patterns far beyond the region itself, particularly as inflation continues to rise in transportation and accommodation. This is placing additional pressure on travelers, businesses, and destinations alike. Despite these uncertainties, international tourism has continued to demonstrate remarkable resilience, with 307 million people traveling internationally during the first quarter of 2026, representing a 2% increase over the same period last year. At a time of growing geopolitical and economic pressures, tourism continues to play a vital role in supporting economies, creating opportunities, and sustaining communities well beyond the tourism sector itself."